Pakistan Services Trade — The Road to Surplus

Services exports are growing faster than imports. On the latest monthly run-rate, the chronic services deficit flips into a surplus in FY27 — for the first time in two decades. All figures in USD million. Source: monthly SBP balance-of-payments data.

FY27 balance (run-rate)
+$300M
First surplus since FY05
latest month × 12
FY26 balance (actual)
−$1,891M
Deficit down 33% vs FY25
Exports growth FY26
+18.7%
FY21–26 CAGR: +11%/yr
Imports growth FY26
+5.7%
FY21–26 CAGR: +7%/yr

The crossover — exports catch imports

Annual services exports (green) rise steeply while imports (pink) stay flat. The lines meet at FY27 run-rate, where exports finally overtake imports.

Services balance — deficit shrinking to surplus

Red = deficit, green = surplus. Switch the lens: the annual gap is closing, and month-by-month the balance already turned positive in mid-2026.

"Run-rate" annualises the most recent month (×12); it signals the trend, not a booked full-year result. Marginal monthly surpluses (+$25M to +$57M) show the flip is early but real.